Alright, here we go. The final predictions. It’s shaping up to be an Everything Everywhere All at Once kind of night. I am predicting Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert’s film to pick up seven Academy Awards. That would make it the biggest winner since Slumdog Millionaire won eight in 2008. Of those, I’m picking it to become just the third movie in history to win three acting Oscars, joining A Streetcar Named Desire (1951) and Network (1976). That will be a real “one of these things is not like the other things” bit of trivia someday.
Beyond that, look for Elvis to win big, as well. Below, I have it winning just three awards, but even as I go to hit publish on this piece, I am waffling on Costume Design and Makeup and Hairstyling. If the Baz Luhrmann flick walks away with five awards, I won’t be surprised. Disappointed, sure, but not surprised.
As far as the show itself, all indications are that it will be a more traditional version of the Oscars broadcast than the trainwreck we got last year, with the exception of the champagne-colored carpet replacing the famed red carpet. There are no fan votes this year. Doesn’t seem like we’ll get strange tributes to films on odd anniversaries. Jimmy Kimmel is back to host. I thought he did a fine job his two previous times hosting, so here’s hoping for a smoother ceremony all around.
And, that’s it. Click on each category below to go to an in-depth discussion of all the nominees, then check back here after the show for immediate reactions, and we’ll put this whole wild season to bed.
*If I’m being honest, this is the least sure of these predictions I have ever been, but it’s important to project an air of confidence.
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: Women Talking
Will win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert for Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: Todd Field for TÁR
Will win: Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: Cate Blanchett for TÁR
Will win: Austin Butler for Elvis
Should win: Colin Farrell for The Banshees of Inisherin
Will win: Jamie Lee Curtis for Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: Kerry Condon for The Banshees of Inisherin
Will win: Ke Huy Quan for Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: Barry Keoghan for The Banshees of Inisherin
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: TÁR
Will win: Women Talking
Should win: Women Talking
Will win: Elvis
Should win: BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: The Banshees of Inisherin
Will win: Elvis
Should win: Babylon
Will win: Babylon
Should win: Babylon
Will win: The Whale
Should win: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Will win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Should win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Will win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should win: All Quiet on the Western Front
Will win: “Naatu Naatu” from RRR
Should win: “Naatu Naatu” from RRR
Will win: Babylon
Should win: All Quiet on the Western Front
Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front
Should win: EO
Will win: Navalny
Should win: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Will win: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Should win: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Will win: Le Pupille
Should win: The Red Suitcase
Will win: The Elephant Whisperers
Should win: Haulout
Will win: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse
Should win: Ice Merchants
Predicted big winners:
Everything Everywhere All At Once - 7
Elvis - 3
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