Sunday, February 10, 2019

Countdown to the Oscars: Welcome to 2019



Time for a confession that won’t come as a shock to anyone who has followed the site: I am a longtime Academy apologist. If you have read my reviews of past Oscar ceremonies, you know this. If you have listened to me argue for Crash as the superior film to Brokeback Mountain, you know this – though I would argue Capote was that year’s best nominated film. I enjoyed the ceremony where Anne Hathaway tried her best to host with a high-out-of-his-mind James Franco, fully understanding my friends and I might be the only ones.

The Oscars ceremony is an event I look forward to all year, every year. It is not an exaggeration to say my calendar year revolves more around the Academy Awards than New Year’s Day. I say all this so you will understand it is out of deep love that I say this: Bluntly, I fear this year’s ceremony will suck. I don’t know that there is a better, more elegant way to put it. Sometimes, simple is best, and simply, this year might suck.

The Academy and its host network, Disney-owned (isn’t everything?) ABC have tripped all over themselves throughout this awards cycle, making mistake after mistake, correcting some, leaving others, until the ceremony they are proposing has begun to sound not like a classical celebration of movies but a grinding chore.

Let’s take a look at some of what’s gone on so far:

The Best Popular Film category: This was a clear disaster from the start. Before we get into it, let’s keep in mind that the driving force behind all of this is ratings. Ratings equal money, and there is no decision that has been announced, at least initially, that is not brutally aware of the bottom line. Of course, we all know how well bottom-line thinking and art co-exist.

Clearly, this attempt at broadening the variety of films nominated was aimed at including blockbusters like Black Panther, which of course is a popcorn masterpiece that was recognized in the top category on merit. The thinking goes: Blockbusters equal viewers because people will tune in to see movies they know about and enjoyed. Supporters of this theory will point to years like 1997 (1998 ceremony), when Titanic won Best Picture and the awards received their highest viewership ever.

This is a juicy premise, and it is understandable why the money men and women would choose to believe it, but it does not hold up to scrutiny. The Titanic ceremony drew 55.25 million viewers, the most ever, but the most watched ceremony by audience percentage was in 1970, when Midnight Cowboy – the X-rated drama about a gigolo, which no one would confuse with a blockbuster – won the top award.

The telecast numbers have gone down every year since 2014, five years of declining ratings resulting in last year’s show being the least watched ever. The Best Picture winner: The Shape of Water, a weird Cold War fish-sex romantic drama, which happened also to be the best film of the year. Perhaps understandable that no one tuned in for that? But keep in mind, box-office-wise, The Shape of Water outperformed every Best Picture winner since the downturn began.

The Academy and ABC are under the misconception that the nominated films somehow are keeping people away. They are not. Let me suggest the obvious – meaning I will not have been the first to say this. It is simply choice. When Titanic was named Best Picture of the year in 1998, 55 million people tuned in because what else were they going to watch. Hell, The Sopranos had not even debuted. Last year, roughly 26 million people watched, nearly half of the Titanic numbers. That looks bad, but in a different light, that represents half as many viewers who had 100 times the choice.

No single similar event but the Super Bowl (which, by the way, suffered dramatically reduced viewership this year) will ever draw 55 million viewers again. It just doesn’t happen in an era when there are 800 channels to watch and infinite streaming options.

The hosting debacle: Let’s say this right off – Kevin Hart would have been a fine host, in the vein of a Jimmy Kimmel, Jon Stewart, or Chris Rock. He would not have been blatantly offensive like Seth McFarlane, and he would not have been overly milquetoast like Ellen DeGeneres or Neil Patrick Harris, both whose hosting gigs I genuinely enjoyed. He likely would have hit the sweet spot in his opening monologue of pointed political humor and general inside-Hollywood jocularity. It would have been fine.

That said, I cannot fault anyone for their reactions to his past homophobic material, and Hart did not help himself with his half-hearted non-apologies. The Academy then suffered the unfortunate look of no one wanting to host the show, which has led to a host-less ceremony, the first of its kind since 1989, when 42 million people tuned in to watch Rain Man win Best Picture. That is roughly equivalent to the 42 million who watched Rock host in 2005 (Million Dollar Baby) and the 43.7 million who watched DeGeneres host in 2014 (12 Years a Slave), the highest-rated ceremony of the new century.

A good host is a bonus. He or she makes the ceremony more fun, more enjoyable, perhaps more whimsical. It is not, however, a make-or-break proposition. No one tunes in to see the host, which is among the most thankless jobs in Hollywood. No one ever likes the show, so you do your best, you try to have fun, then you try to forget about it. This should not have mattered as much as it did, but welcome to the modern era.

The tyranny of the three-hour show: This is ABC’s latest scourge, which has been evident in all of its decision-making and was painfully obvious at the normally loose and fun Academy Awards luncheon, where producer Donna Gigliotti stressed repeatedly the importance of keeping speeches short and getting the ceremony in in under three hours.

As we discuss this, keep in mind the longest Academy Awards on record came in 2002, when A Beautiful Mind was named Best Picture. The show lasted four hours and 23 minutes. The number of viewers: 40.5 million. Don’t let anyone tell you length matters to the viewer, or more specifically, the viewership numbers.

This myth that a three-hour show will help revive viewership has led to all of the worst ideas to come out of this year’s proposed ceremony: the plan to perform just two of the five Best Original Song nominees (corrected by virtue of nominee solidarity); the limiting of speech time to 90 seconds, including walk time; and most offensive of all, the shunting off to commercial breaks those categories that might be considered less sexy or viewer friendly.

I must believe – for sanity’s sake if nothing else – that these ideas were proposed by ABC. Otherwise, I would have to reconcile the idea that Academy has no idea what it is or what makes its show tick.

Limiting the songs to two is such a jaw-dropping idea one wonders how it could ever have been pitched. Some of the show’s best moments come from those songs – Common and John Legend’s performance of “Glory” from Selma is a watershed moment in Academy history. The nominees rightfully revolted, and we will have a full complement of songs – if shortened and bastardized to fit into a pre-determined window of time.

On speech length – counting walking time is by far the pettiest thing the producers can do to cut down on show runtime – let’s do some math. With 24 categories, at 90 seconds each, that is 36 minutes of speeches. With the allotted – and ludicrous – seven minutes to perform five original songs, that is 42 minutes of show. Say – and this is a rough estimate – they have to fill two hours and 10 minutes, with 50 minutes of commercials in their dream three-hour show. What you are left with is 88 minutes of host-less banter between awards speeches.

Throw in the In Memorium sequence and we have roughly 80 minutes of free-flowing, unmoored nonsense. This is the Oscars. It is about the winners. Any other belief is misguided and wrong-headed. The speeches are why one tunes in. We do not need to see comedians and actors and the like performing stilted “witty” conversations in lieu of the honest emotion of an artist reacting to the most important moment of his or her life.

Which brings us to the idea of hiding certain categories during the commercial break – rumored to be five or six categories with no word on which as of yet. The very idea is disgusting, and the Academy should be ashamed for allowing such an idea to make it out of a brainstorm – and for not firing the person who brainstormed it.

The Oscars are about celebrating movie-making, and there is not one person nominated in any category who is less important than another in the art of filmmaking. The show is supposed to be about giving them their moment in the sun. Not to do so is a betrayal of what the Academy Awards stand for.

I know it is all about commerce, and the show is essentially one big commercial for the movie industry. Love us, buy tickets, see movies. I get that. But at the same time, when the legendary Roger Deakins wins Best Cinematography on his 14th nomination, that is a moment to cherish. When a documentary filmmaker calls out the presidential administration for its lies and falsehoods, that is a moment. The show is about moments, and the artists are the ones who give us those moments. And that means all the artists, not just the ones whose faces we recognize.

How to fix the Oscars

This year’s ceremony cannot be saved. We are in an expect-the-worst, hope-for-the-best scenario already. But what can be done in the future? I would make a single change that would address all of the current demons haunting the Academy Awards.

Make it pay-per-view.

The dwindling numbers are evidence that given the preponderance of entertainment options – be they on TV, the internet, your phone, or some combination of all of these – only hard-core fans are going to watch the ceremony. This is fine. In fact, in the age of new media, it is ideal. It is impossible to survive by trying to be all things to all people. By attempting to pull this off, the Academy is not drawing in new viewers, but it is alienating its core viewers. With an entire media world at everyone’s fingertips, it is important to fill a niche. The Oscars are a perfectly constructed niche. Those who desire to watch will pay – a la carte viewership is the current wave of television consumption anyway.

In addition, by divorcing itself of a network and of corporate demands, the Academy is free to be its true self. This will be offputting to some – even I, a fan, would describe that true self as elitist, leftist, and self-congratulatory – but they would not watch to begin with. Instead, the Academy would be free to form a deeper connection with those it appeals to most. This creates loyalty and repeat viewership.

As far as the actual effect on the show, as we said, length is not a problem for viewers who care to watch in the first place. Moreover, on pay-per-view, commercial breaks are eliminated. For breaks when those in attendance – or those at home – might want to hit the bar, visit the bathroom, or just mingle, there are the montages the Academy loves so much each year. But now, instead of taking up valuable network airtime, they are the breaks in action, entertaining but disposable and perfectly suited to this function.

Ironically, this elimination of commercial breaks would naturally bring the length of the show down to three hours or less, but of course, that is not something the pay-per-viewers would care about. However, perhaps the show could move to Saturday night, when the pay-per-view could air live the entirety of the ceremony. Then, a network could buy the rights to an edited version of the ceremony to air later the same night or the next night – the traditional Sunday. This increases revenue and decreases running time.

Of course, by airing a tape-delayed version the next night, everyone will already know the winners, but the primary function of the show at that point would simply be as a piece of entertainment. With countless big-name stars, big musical numbers from the Original Song nominees, and a smart opening with a talented, funny host, it would be the best show on TV and would still draw the 25 million or so viewers who are watching anyway.

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So, there it is. I am only a fan, and maybe I am way off base – but certainly no more than the Academy and ABC. I look forward to Oscars night every year, but this is the first year a sense of dread has crept into the equation. If the Academy cannot figure out what makes those who love it and follow it want to love and follow, it will die. And that would be a shame.

Welcome to Last Cinema Standing’s Countdown to the Oscars, which will proceed a little differently this year. Keep checking back here at the site for more analysis and discussion of the year’s Academy Award-nominated films.

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