Last Cinema Standing: Totally Accurate, 100 Percent Guaranteed 2021 Academy Awards Predictions*

Sunday, March 27, 2022

Totally Accurate, 100 Percent Guaranteed 2021 Academy Awards Predictions*

We have talked this thing to death. As I type this, we are about five hours from finding out the first batch of winners – those eight categories not being presented on the live broadcast. Most of those crafts awards are likely to go to Dune, which is not going to tell us much when it comes to predicting Best Picture, but if anything else starts to win, we could be in for a weird night.

Honestly, though, these predictions feel weird. I am predicting The Power of the Dog to win Best Director and nothing else. That basically never happens. I am predicting CODA to go 3-for-3, including Best Picture, which is something no one could have imagined a month ago. I am going against the grain and picking against Dune in a couple places that others think it has locked up (Editing and Production Design) – go big or go home, right? I find it exciting to be this uncertain of what’s going to happen.

Click the links on each of these categories to go to a full breakdown of all the nominees and all the logic behind these predictions.

*As the headline states, these predictions are completely accurate and fully guaranteed, but if you ask me about it, I will deny we ever had this conversation.

Picture

Will win: CODA

Should win: The Power of the Dog

Director

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog

Should win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog

Actress

Will win: Jessica Chastain for The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Should win: Olivia Colman for The Lost Daughter

Actor

Will win: Will Smith for King Richard

Should win: Andrew Garfield for Tick, Tick…BOOM!