Showing posts with label Arrival. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Arrival. Show all posts

Sunday, February 26, 2017

Totally Accurate, 100 Percent Guaranteed 2016 Academy Awards Predictions*



This is the third year running I have put out theses absolutely perfect predictions (with wide, wide margin for error), and in the previous two, there have been open questions extending even to the top award. This year, that question does not exist. The only major question is how high Damien Chazelle’s throwback Hollywood musical La La Land can soar. Can it set the record with 12 wins? Count ’em below if you want to know what I think.

That does not mean there is no intrigue. Far from it. From Best Actor to Best Documentary to Best Foreign Language Film, we will be in the dark until the moment the envelope is opened and someone’s life changes forever. So, sit back, relax, and embrace the mystery. Here are Last Cinema Standing’s Totally Accurate, 100 Percent Guaranteed 2016 Academy Awards Predictions*. Click on any category to see a full breakdown of the nominees, and check back here after the show for a full recap and analysis. Have fun.

*Guarantee this year is valid everywhere but no requests for refund will be honored.

Will win: La La Land
Should win: Moonlight

Will win: Damien Chazelle for La La Land
Should win: Barry Jenkins for Moonlight

Will win: Casey Affleck for Manchester by the Sea
Should win: Denzel Washington for Fences

Will win: Emma Stone for La La Land
Should win: Natalie Portman for Jackie

Will win: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight
Should win: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight

Will win: Viola Davis for Fences
Should win: Viola Davis for Fences

Will win: La La Land
Should win: The Lobster

Will win: Moonlight
Should win: Fences

Will win: La La Land
Should win: Silence

Will win: La La Land
Should win: Hacksaw Ridge

Will win: La La Land
Should win: La La Land

Will win: La La Land
Should win: Jackie

Will win: Star Trek Beyond
Should win: Star Trek Beyond

Will win: Hacksaw Ridge
Should win: Hacksaw Ridge

Will win: La La Land
Should win: La La Land

Will win: La La Land
Should win: Jackie

Will win: “Audition (Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land
Should win: “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana

Will win: The Jungle Book
Should win: The Jungle Book

Will win: Zootopia
Should win: Moana

Will win: The Salesman
Should win: Land of Mine

Will win: O.J.: Made in America
Should win: O.J.: Made in America

Will win: La Femme et le TGV
Should win: Sing

Will win: Pear Cider and Cigarettes
Should win: Piper

Will win: Watani: My Homeland
Should win: 4.1 Miles

Predicted big winners

La La Land – 11
Moonlight – 2

Friday, February 24, 2017

Countdown to the Oscars: Best Picture

Writer-director Barry Jenkins' masterful Moonlight is among the nine nominees this year for Best Picture.

Welcome to Last Cinema Standing’s Countdown to the Oscars, our daily look at this year’s Academy Awards race. Be sure to check back every day leading up to the ceremony for analysis of each of the Academy’s 24 categories and more.

Best Picture


The nominees are:

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

It has been a few years now since a movie ran away from the pack. Last year, it felt like any of four films could have been called out for the top award. Before that, Birdman and Boyhood battled it out for the big prize, and 12 Years a Slave and Gravity the year before. You have to look back to Argo in 2012 for the last time a film gobbled up everything on its way to the big win at the Oscars. Jack Nicholson and Michelle Obama presented that award. Can you imagine such a thing now? Damn it, it has only been a month, and it seems so long ago that hope mattered or was even possible.

We have talked in this series about the new president and his administration and how these awards reflect a cultural backlash against our just-beginning national nightmare. It is no coincidence we see films nominated like Iranian master Asghar Farhadi’s The Salesman, Ava DuVernay’s 13th, and shorts like The White Helmets, Watani: My Homeland, 4.1 Miles, and Ennemis Intérieurs. All of these films directly confront the most pressing issues of the day.

I have every hope the winners of Academy Awards on Sunday will use the platform of the ceremony to speak out, to protest, and to sound a rallying cry to the rest of us. There is no doubt the administration and its supporters, in an attempt to stoke class divisions and nurture their beloved us-vs.-them mentality, will point to this as yet another example of Hollywood elitism. I prefer to think of the Academy as speaking for the majority of Americans, who do not support the hate, racism, sexism, bigotry, and ignorance spewing from and encouraged by the White House.

The Academy Awards are a big, fancy-dress ball being held at a time when it almost does not seem worth it to get out of bed in the morning. It has been hard all season to look forward to Sunday evening with any real joy or anticipation. Political events seemed to have sucked the very idea of joy out of our national consciousness. So, I understand if some people do not want to watch (mostly) rich people get dressed up and award each other gold statues, but I would also argue it means more than that.

Th nine Best Picture nominees listed above and discussed below are about us and how we feel right now in this place and time. Some of us want escape, some want confrontation, some need inspiration, and others just need to see themselves reflected in a world turned upside down. Roger Ebert, that greatest of all film writers, once said: “For me, the movies are like a machine that generates empathy. It lets you understand a little bit more about different hopes, aspirations, dreams, and fears. It helps us to identify with the people who are sharing this journey with us.” If ever there were a time we needed that machine, it is now.

La La Land (directed by Damien Chazelle) – As an Oscar contender, there is nothing that compares to La La Land in the history of the Academy. It is just the third film in 89 years of ceremonies to garner 14 nominations. The first to do so was All About Eve in 1950. While both films are ostensibly show-business films, All About Eve is a dark, cynical satire, while Chazelle’s film is an earnest paean to the magic of art. The other film with 14 nominations is Titanic, which like La La Land is a romance, but let’s not compare the scale of the two. No one need be reminded of the epic nature of James Cameron’s historical fiction, and by comparison, the Hollywood musical seems small.

Chazelle’s film, then, is in a class by itself. It has pulled away from everything else in such an historic manner, I would not be surprised to see it break the record for Oscar wins, shared at 11 by Ben-Hur, Titanic, and The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King. La La Land is double nominated in Best Original Song, so there is one it cannot win, except in the unlikely event of a tie. Ryan Gosling is not among the frontrunners for Best Actor, so there are two. That leaves 12 and the record within reach.

Here are the Awards we can be nearly certain of: Picture, Director, Actress, Cinematography, Art Direction, Costume Design, Original Song, Original Score, and Sound Mixing. That’s nine, which would be an impressive haul and the most since The Return of the King in 2003. Editing and Sound Editing are a toss-up between La La Land and Hacksaw Ridge, while Original Screenplay is between this and Manchester by the Sea, and that is all that stands between Chazelle and history.

The question lingers: Why? Why this film? Why now? A starry-eyed musical romance about two dreamers following their lives’ passions – how does this speak to us today? Well, it is an escape into a fantasy land of hope and optimism, two hours during which you can sink into your chair, click your heels, and be whisked away into another world entirely, a happier world. It is natural, in times such as these, to need such an escape.

I have felt every day since the election: ‘Just bring me another drink, in bed; no worries, I’ll pull the covers back over my head myself.’ I do not suppose I am the only one. La La Land is the briefest of respites from the national depression. It is also a marvelously realized film, and whatever minor flaws it has are covered by its audacity and unbridled enthusiasm.  With it, Chazelle takes his place as one of the modern visionaries of cinema.

Moonlight (directed by Barry Jenkins) – There are a couple films here with an outside shot of upsetting the apple cart, and we will discuss those in a moment, but the only film with a reasonable chance of toppling La La Land is Moonlight. It is the critical favorite by a wide margin. It is second in nominations total behind La La Land, tied with Arrival at eight. More than any of that, though, and what will linger long after the awards have been handed out, it is a uniquely artistic, gorgeously rendered examination of a life. Talk about a machine that generates empathy.

As the film opens, Little (Alex R. Hibbert) could be any of us. He is a small, shy, sensitive boy being bullied for who he is. He meets his mentor, Juan (Mahershala Ali), a drug dealer but a kind man. He grows and becomes Chiron (Ashton Sanders), who is not yet comfortable in his own skin and has difficulty adjusting to the emotional and physical upheaval of adolescence. Finally, he is Black (Trevante Rhodes), a man who embodies all of that – the shy boy, the angry teen, the kind mentor – but still has little idea who he truly wants to be.

Moonlight is glorious because it charts the path of a life that could be any life, but in its specifics and details, it opens a door and invites us to step into this life, which we perhaps only understood intellectually. Jenkins helps us understand emotionally. At the margins of this society are people with the same hopes, fears, dreams, and aspirations as everyone else, but because opportunity never knocked on their doors, their lives took a different path. Most of us will never walk a mile in those shoes, but Moonlight shows us what it is like to lace them up.

Hidden Figures (directed by Theodore Melfi) – Every year, there is a popular favorite, a movie everybody saw and everyone liked and everyone thinks should win Best Picture. Call it the People’s Choice. In the recent past, that would have referred to movies like The Martian, American Sniper, and Gravity. These movies are usually well made, conventional but with an arty pedigree, and huge hits at the box office. Enter Hidden Figures, a well-made flick that feels conventional but has a degree of artiness and is the highest grossing of these nine nominees.

USA Today conducted a recent poll, in conjunction with Fandango, asking 8,000 movie-goers – a sample size a little larger than the Academy – what should win Best Picture. Hidden Figures led with 26 percent of the vote, followed closely by La La Land. Now, 26 percent will get you nowhere on a preferential ballot, which requires 50 percent plus one vote to win, but it is still informative. In a group that contains several crowd-pleasing entertainments, Melfi’s film is the one that pleased the crowd most. That it happens to be about three smart, black women is a wonderful bonus.

Katherine Johnson (Taraji P. Henson), Dorothy Vaughan (Octavia Spencer), and Mary Jackson (Janelle Monáe) are American heroes for what they accomplished, yes, but more for how they accomplished it. To be black in this country has never been easy, and to be a woman in this country has never been easy, and black women have had perhaps the toughest time of anyone. The story of these brilliant people and their work at NASA is inspiring, the script is witty, and the performances are superb, but what matters most is if one more young, black girl – hopefully many more – decides to pursue a career in science or mathematics. That is what we mean when we talk about the power of these movies.

Manchester by the Sea (directed by Kenneth Lonergan) – There is no formula for winning Best Picture or making the kind of movie that will even be nominated. The more cynical among the film commentariat will sometimes see a log line or cast list and declare a film signed, sealed, and delivered for the Academy. Often as not, they are wrong. Speaking in the most general terms, a film needs one of two things to win Best Picture: wow factor or importance. If a film features both, so much the better. The last three Best Picture winners could not be more dissimilar, but they all had one or the other – Spotlight (importance), Birdman (wow factor), and 12 Years a Slave (both).

I mention all of this because Manchester by the Sea was tabbed as an early favorite for the top prize based on the critical response, which was breathless, and its cast and performances, which are universally superb. While it has found love in the nominations process everywhere, it has not caught on anywhere but for lead actor Casey Affleck, though even he is battling off a late charge by Denzel Washington. The reason, it seems to me, is that it lacks either the wow factor of some of these contenders, such as La La Land, Hacksaw Ridge, or Arrival, or the importance of films like Moonlight, Hidden Figures, and even Hell or High Water.

None of this is to say Manchester by the Sea is not a wonderful film, which it is, nor that it failed to accomplish what it sets out to accomplish, which I believe it does. Lonergan’s script is a remarkable achievement of character development, emotional resonance, and quiet humor, and he very well could win an Oscar for it. The work by Affleck, Michelle Williams, Lucas Hedges, and the rest of the cast is outstanding. However, next to the frontrunners, and indeed some of the films ostensibly trailing it, Manchester by the Sea lacks that essential element that would drive Academy members to vote for it.

Hacksaw Ridge (directed by Mel Gibson) – The Oscar story of Hacksaw Ridge is the story of Gibson’s return to the good graces of the Academy. The film, Gibson’s first as director since Apocalypto in 2006, premiered out of competition at the Venice Film Festival and received a 10-minute standing ovation. Its adequate, if not stellar, domestic box-office numbers are mitigated by a solid overseas haul, and the capper came nominations morning with six nods, including Best Picture. Mel Gibson, at least for now, is fully back. We talked a lot about the ethical quandary of that in discussing Best Director, so I will not rehash it here. The work stands alone.

And what beautiful work. Gibson’s credentials as a filmmaker have never been in doubt, and his twin Oscars for directing and producing Braveheart are hard-won, if not necessarily the choices I would have made. What he has needed – what all directors need – has been a story worthy of his gifts. He finds it in the true-life tale of Desmond Doss, a Quaker and conscientious objector during World War II who nonetheless joins the U.S. Army in an effort to preserve as much life on the battlefield as he can while refusing to take a life or even to carry a gun.

For a film that is ostensibly about the virtue of nonviolence, Gibson packs a hell of a lot of blood and guts into his picture, but at no point does he fall into the trap of making war look pretty or poetic. It is gritty, grimy, gross business, and the film depicts the honest darkness with a refreshing lack of sentiment. This is the big action star and action filmmaker in Gibson putting his talents to use in service of a cause larger than mere thrills or entertainment. Hacksaw Ridge uses its trappings as a brutally gory war flick to hide its true nature, that of a grand, glorious anti-war statement.

Arrival (directed by Denis Villeneuve) – Speaking of films that hide their true nature, anyone walking into Arrival expecting to see a traditional alien-invasion movie, with all the attendant firepower and destruction, left sorely disappointed. That is, unless they were able to give themselves over to one of cinema’s truly unique experiences this year – an elliptically told story about the power of words and virtue of patience that ultimately speaks volumes about the world in which we live.

The short story on which the film was based – “The Story of Your Life” by Ted Chiang – was published in 1998, nearly 20 years ago, but its themes and ideas grow more relevant with each passing day. It is a story of communication, of seeing the world through eyes that are not your own, and of accepting that our lives and views are not so big in the grand scheme of things. In a world of radical self-importance and nihilistic individuality, this is perhaps not the message most want to receive, but it is the message we all most need.

Villeneuve’s direction, Amy Adams’ central performance, and the script by Eric Heisserer combine to make sense of a story that by design, has no beginning or end. Events occur, or have occurred, or will occur, seemingly at random, but as the pieces fall together, we get closer to understanding what it all means and how it all fits. This is the character’s journey as well, slowly, methodically coming to understand the whys of the world around her and finally coming to grips with that understanding.

Lion (directed by Garth Davis) – Some movies sneak up on you. You are not prepared for their depth or beauty. You cannot conceive of their brilliance until you are awash in it. I did not expect much from Lion. I had heard all the rave reviews, but most described it as a sort of weepy, which to me suggested it would be emotionally manipulative in some way, that it would not play fair with our hearts and minds. Its trailers did it no favors in selling it as just that kind of film. I went in with decidedly lowered expectations. How wrong I was to have doubted.

Davis’ film is anything but the generic, based-on-a-bestseller melodrama I so dreaded. It is a contemplative, quietly moving, deeply affecting look at the inner turmoil and emotional upheaval of a person whose life is split in two and who cannot move forward until the pieces are put back together. In addition to the remarkable, heart-on-its-sleeve story, the artistry put on display by first-time feature director Davis is positively splendid. The director daringly transitions from a neo-realist, nearly silent opening half into a more dreamlike, surreal second half that blends memory and reality, sensation and absence into a whirlwind of competing emotions that perfectly mirrors the main character’s headspace.

Lion is one of those rare pleasant surprises at the movies. I see enough and read enough that I know what to expect when I buy my ticket and take my seat – most of the time. When a movie comes along like Lion, though, and from the first frame to the last simply bowls me over with its intelligence, its grace, and its beauty, I can do nothing but marvel and appreciate that I have had an experience that does not come around very often.

Hell or High Water (directed by David Mackenzie) – I have a little game I play every year, like a thought experiment, in which I try to guess which Best Picture nominees my dad would enjoy most. I learned my love of film from my father, then as I grew older, I grew a different appreciation for the art of cinema from the one I knew as a child renting VHS tapes from the video store across the street. Suffice to say, my father’s and my taste have diverged.

While there are few films he enjoys that I do not – apart from a few tiresome comedies, which I would not begrudge anyone – I feel certain most of my favorite films would not appeal to him. This does not bother me and is perfectly normal, but when I find a movie I know my father will love, I get excited. It is fun to show something to the man who showed me everything when I was growing up. All of this is a long way of saying Hell or High Water is the kind of rollicking, adventure thriller that will appeal to anyone with an appreciation of cinema or anyone who just wants to have a good damn time.

The magnificence of Mackenzie’s film, written by Taylor Sheridan, lies in its ability to be two things at once. It is a whip-smart, down-home thriller about a couple good ol’ boys on the run from the law and the lawman chasing after them. However, it is also an earnest condemnation of the big-business world and the politics of money that have depressed entire regions of this nation, destroying livelihoods and wrecking futures for generations to come. So few movies can be all things to all people, but Hell or High Water succeeds in entertaining and informing in a way of which I think my dad would approve.

Fences (directed by Denzel Washington) – In just the past two months, I have written thousands of words about the greatness of Fences – its performances, its direction, and above all its writing. There is not much more I can do to convince the unconvinced, to interest the disinterested. I simply sit and wonder how anyone could not be shaken to the bone, moved to their very core, by the story of Troy Maxson (Washington), his wife, Rose (Viola Davis), their son, Corey (Jovan Adepo), Troy’s first son, Lyons (Russell Hornsby), his brother, Gabriel (Mykelti Williamson), and his friend Bono (Stephen Henderson).

Playwright August Wilson’s masterpiece is about these people and the way they live. It is about how they communicate, how they interact with the world, how the world treats them. It is about the ways they wrong each other, care for each other, love each other, and find equal amounts of joy and sorrow in one another. No work of American literature has better captured or better expressed the basic humanness of us all. It is not a blueprint for how to live our lives but a blueprint for how we have already lived. Wilson writes as if he knows who we are, what we have done, and what we will do. He writes this way because he knows all of this of the Maxsons, who stand for every one of us and yet stand alone.

The play, as Wilson’s only true peer Shakespeare once wrote, is the thing. Every bit of brilliance in Fences stems from the words on the page. But Washington’s task does not end there. He is the first director to bring a work by Wilson to the big screen, and his responsibility in so doing is immense. Of course, lest we forget, this is Denzel Washington, one of the great talents of our time, and he lives up to every responsibility he has to the text. He mounts the picture marvelously, performs in it incomparably, and directs it admirably. We are lucky, now, to live in a world where such greatness was captured, even for an instant.

The final analysis


There are certain years in Academy history that stand out for their Best Picture lineups. The first, and most often cited as the greatest year in film history, let alone Academy history, is 1939, when nominated for Best Picture were winner Gone with the Wind, Mr. Smith Goes to Washington, Stagecoach, The Wizard of Oz, and Wuthering Heights, among others.

Another is 1967, 50 years ago now, and as is my understanding the subject of one of those strange, themed Academy Awards ceremony tributes that honor films that came out in the anniversary of the ceremony year, not the year of the films being celebrated. For instance, the ceremony of 50 years ago, honored the films of 1966, much as this one celebrates the achievements of 2016. I digress. In 1967, the nominees were winner In the Heat of the Night, The Graduate, Bonnie and Clyde, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner, and Doctor Doolittle.

Less often spoken of but to my mind no less miraculous is 1976, when the nominees were winner Rocky, Taxi Driver, Network, All the President’s Men, and Bound for Glory. It has been a while since we have had a year of such vintage, though I would argue 2005, which honored Crash alongside Capote, Goodnight and Good Luck, Brokeback Mountain, and Munich, belongs in the conversation.

La La Land will win Best Picture this year. It will probably sweep the awards in a possibly record-setting fashion. It will do so, however, at the head of a class of nominees that deserves a place on that illustrious list of best years in Academy history. Moonlight and Fences belong to the ages. La La Land is an invigorating, admirable champion from an exciting, young visionary director, and it will be looked back upon fondly.

The other six nominees are all glorious achievements and a year featuring any one of them could not have been a bad year for the movies. These nine films speak to who we are today, the people we were yesterday, and the people we could be tomorrow. Their individual accomplishments are many, but taken together, it is one of the greatest groups the Academy has ever produced, and years from now, generations yet to be born will look back on these films and know something good came from the mess we made of this world. If we cannot say the same about the society we have fostered, at least we do not have to be embarrassed of its cinema.

Will win: La La Land
Should win: Moonlight
Should have been here: O.J.: Made in America

This weekend: I will have up a couple more fun items tomorrow and Sunday morning, including a ranking of all 62 nominated films, so be sure to check back for that, and then, at long last, the big show arrives.

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Countdown to the Oscars: Best Director


Best Director nominee Denis Villeneuve (left), with Amy Adams, on the set of Arrival.

Welcome to Last Cinema Standing’s Countdown to the Oscars, our daily look at this year’s Academy Awards race. Be sure to check back every day leading up to the ceremony for analysis of each of the Academy’s 24 categories and more.

Best Director


The nominees are:

Damien Chazelle for La La Land
Mel Gibson for Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins for Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester by the Sea
Denis Villeneuve for Arrival

More than any other award, Best Director feels like a coronation. It is the honor that says: Welcome to the club, you are one of us. Four of these men – and once again, they are all men, for the 85th time in 89 years – are first-time nominees in this category. An Oscar is the greatest encouragement the Academy can give, a promise from members they find value in your work and wish to support it.

For the fifth nominee, though, the only one in this group who is an Oscar winner already, a victory here would mean something far different. Gibson’s exile from the Hollywood mainstream was entirely of his own making. We are all familiar with the multiple vile, racist, misogynist outbursts that made him a pariah in cinema circles. His name will forever be attached to that ugliness, and even now, more than a decade later, the question remains whether we can forgive his trespasses. This nomination suggests an answer, but an Oscar win would be the definitive statement of forgiveness from a town that once loved him so.

Damien Chazelle for La La Land – The “it” director of the moment is Chazelle, whose blockbuster musical drama has taken Hollywood by storm and enchanted the movie-going public at a time in our culture when enchantment is in short supply. In some ways, this has felt preordained since Chazelle hit the scene with his Oscar-winning triumph Whiplash two years ago. Once that film took home three trophies, it was clear Chazelle was working firmly in the Academy’s wheelhouse. Fast forward to today, and that assessment looks as on point as ever.

None of the adulation is undeserved, as the 32-year-old wunderkind has demonstrated a remarkable facility for devising ingenious individual sequences and cobbling those moments into a wonderful whole. This is the biggest canvas he has had to paint on yet, and the result is, to borrow a word from the film’s advertising, magic. Combining technically masterful long-take musical numbers that leave audiences gaping in wonder with a story that is as much an ode to the artistic process as it is a romance, Chazelle crafts a film that feels both utterly original and achingly familiar. It is like a half-remembered dream to which you always wished to return, and Chazelle possesses the wizardry to take you there.

La La Land amazes with the sheer audacity of producing an old-school Hollywood movie musical for today’s world. It works because it plays equally well to dreamers and cynics, offering validation to the hopeful and disaffected alike. Chazelle puts his heart, soul, and every ounce of talent into this thing, and as long as Hollywood does not steal him away to make the next big superhero movie, it seems like he has much more of himself to give.

Barry Jenkins for Moonlight – If anyone were to challenge Chazelle for the prize, it would be Jenkins for a film that could not be more different from La La Land. You have never seen a movie like Moonlight. It is a coming-of-age tale that asks you to see yourself in someone who likely could not be more different from you. Few of us know firsthand the trials Little/Chiron/Black faces in his life, but Jenkins does, and through him, we are able to empathize with the character’s experience.

One would not think a moody, contemplative film about a world so far removed from most of us could be this engaging, this enthralling, and this magnificent. Moonlight, which is ultimately a film about subverting expectations, subverts the expectations of the audience. Perhaps you have heard it is sad or slow, or perhaps you believe it will not appeal to you. Well, it is not sad; on the contrary, it is quietly triumphant. Slow is a matter of patience and willingness, and no film is slow that is guided by as sure and steady hands as these. Whether it will appeal to you is simply a question of whether you are able to feel sympathy and understanding for someone not like yourself.

All of this is to say Jenkins has made a perfect film, and his greatest success is forcing the audience to meet him where he wants to go. This is not an easy film – no great art is – but it is a necessary, poignant reminder of the joys and sorrows of people we never see. Everything flows from Jenkins, who guides Moonlight along a path that is sometimes shocking in its honesty, often aching in its beauty, and always leading toward transcendence.

Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester by the Sea – Lonergan earned his master of fine arts degree in dramatic writing. He is a Pulitzer Prize-nominated playwright. He is a three-time Academy Award nominee for Best Original Screenplay, including this year for this film. It is safe to safe Lonergan is best known as a writer and, more than that, a writer of deeply humanistic dramas about finding connections in those closest to us. On this account, Manchester by the Sea is firmly within his wheelhouse.

What is not often spoken of is Lonergan the director, particularly as a guider of performances. Manchester by the Sea is the only film this year with three acting nominations to its credit, and yes, the performers are wonderful and talented, but it takes a specific kind of director to coax such tremendous work from a cast. Whatever that specific skill is, Lonergan is clearly possessed of it. This is most evidenced by the performance he draws out of young actor Lucas Hedges, who at 19 years old and in just his ninth big-screen appearance, sets a bar that will be hard to clear for his young peers.

The direction of the film is what one might call unfussy. Lonergan mostly hangs back and lets the words and performances do the heavy lifting, which is of course the right call for the material. When it comes time to show off, Lonergan and his able crew, including cinematographer Jody Lee Lipes, are more than game. But in a film about repressed emotions, it is Lonergan’s restraint as a director that reveals his ultimate strength.

Denis Villeneuve for Arrival – The Quebecois director has been making films for more than 20 years, but he has rocketed to fame in the last six or seven. After directing the Best Foreign Language Film nominee Incendies in 2010, he made the jump to big Hollywood features with Prisoners, which though I found it tiresome was highly regarded. He also made the critically adored mindbender Enemy and the popular, Oscar-nominated Sicario, which was released last year.

I have been in the minority on his films, finding them self-conscious, macho, and didactic – at least, his most recent few features. For me, Arrival is his first English-language feature truly worthy of the praise heaped upon it. Villeneuve directs the science-fiction epic like a low-key character study, letting the audience become invested in the plot through the people, not the action. There is some self-conscious flashiness here, but it feels of a piece with the story and the drama. Nothing is done simply for the sake of appearances.

Villeneuve, like Chazelle, is on his way up in the directing world, and he is already in post-production on the high-profile Blade Runner sequel Blade Runner 2049. He does not necessarily need the support or encouragement of the Academy, though I doubt he would reject it. Rather, this is an acknowledgement a filmmaker the Academy has had its eye on for a while now has made a film members simply adored.

Mel Gibson for Hacksaw Ridge – Finally, we arrive back at Gibson – Mel, to his fans and supporters – and the question of whether forgiveness is possible, necessary, or just. I am of two minds, though I have the luxury of so being since I was not among the many targets of Gibson’s hate-filled invectives. My belief as a fan of cinema and art in general is that great art is great art, regardless of who produced it. If we agree the populace votes with its wallets, I think I am in the majority here, considering the record sales for someone like Michael Jackson, among other examples. If Gibson has produced work worthy of praise, we should praise it, though that should in no way be construed as forgetfulness or forgiveness.

On the other hand, in the world today, perhaps the last thing we need is to reward a rich, white racist and misogynist. Just because this describes well the leader of the free(ish) world does not mean we must celebrate such traits elsewhere. No one can know what is in Gibson’s heart, whether it has truly changed or if he feels no genuine remorse whatsoever. What we can know is what he has said in the past, words which are well documented and unavoidable. I do not know the answer, and I do not believe anyone else does or even can. I am saying I cannot judge you for what you feel, whatever it may be.

My feelings are thus: As a director, Gibson’s work on dark, gritty action-thrillers – among which let us count The Passion of the Christ for simplicity’s sake – has always been superb. He has a brilliant instinct for where to place the camera for maximum tension and effect, and his sense of pace and energy is astounding. Hacksaw Ridge is wobbly in its opening passages, where Gibson seems unsteady in setting up his war story, but once the war story hits and Gibson is in his element, the action is unparalleled. I will not tell anyone what to feel about the actions of the man, but I must say the actions of the director are tremendous.

The final analysis


The La La Land train really does feel unstoppable at this point, and as the conductor of that speeding locomotive, Chazelle is likely to pick up this award. He would be the youngest Best Director winner in Academy history, edging out Norman Taurog, who was 32 years and 9 months when he won for Skippy in 1931. Of all the history La La Land can make on Oscar night, this bit seems most assured.

Will win: Damien Chazelle for La La Land
Should win: Barry Jenkins for Moonlight
Should have been here: Pablo Larraín for Jackie

Tomorrow: Best Actress

Sunday, February 12, 2017

Countdown to the Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

Janelle Monae, Taraji P. Henson, and Octavia Spencer in Hidden Figures, nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay.

Welcome to Last Cinema Standing’s Countdown to the Oscars, our daily look at this year’s Academy Awards race. Be sure to check back every day leading up to the ceremony for analysis of each of the Academy’s 24 categories and more.

Best Adapted Screenplay


The nominees are:

Arrival, written by Eric Heisserer
Fences, written by August Wilson
Hidden Figures, written by Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi
Lion, written by Luke Davies
Moonlight, written by Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney

There is an elephant in the room this year that cannot be ignored when it comes to Best Adapted Screenplay. It is an occurrence so unique as to be without precedent in the history of the Academy. Perhaps the greatest thing ever written in the English language is William Shakespeare’s Hamlet. It has been adapted into countless films, including Sir Laurence Olivier’s Best Picture-winning production in 1948. Even that, though, was not nominated for Screenplay.

In fact, the only direct adaptation of a Shakespeare play ever nominated in this category was Kenneth Branagh’s stately 1996 mounting of Hamlet, which lost the award to Billy Bob Thornton and Sling Blade. This is ludicrous if you give it any thought. As fine as Thornton’s Sling Blade script is – and it is a fine film – its competition was one of the greatest pieces of literary art ever gifted to this world. I mention all of this because the scenario likely to play out at this year’s Academy Awards is strikingly similar with one huge difference.

Fences – The difference is Wilson, the closest the world will ever get to an American Shakespeare. While Denzel Washington may have taken on directing duties, this is Wilson’s adaptation of his own Pulitzer Prize-winning play, completed before his death in 2005. Imagine if the Bard himself had given instructions how to film Romeo and Juliet, and you have some idea of the magnitude of this work.

Wilson’s Century Cycle, chronicling the black experience in America through each decade of the 20th century, is as important to the English literary canon as the First Folio. I was fortunate enough to see Jitney recently in its first Broadway run, despite being completed first of the cycle and premiering in Pittsburgh in 1982. Coincidentally, the production co-stars André Holland, who also stars in Moonlight. Wilson’s words, as ever, flow forth like a river, caressing every bend and charging forward relentlessly but majestically.

But Fences – glorious, wondrous, magical Fences – is Wilson’s crowning achievement, perhaps the crowning achievement in American literature, give or take a Mark Twain, an Ernest Hemingway or Wilson contemporary Toni Morrison. The story of Troy Maxson (Washington) and his family is the story of black Americans’ past, present, and future in this country, which is to say it is the story of the past, present, and future of this country.

Wilson is never afraid to tackle big ideas or grand themes head on, attacking prejudice, racial injustice in all its forms, and economic inequality with all the righteous indignity and furious anger such topics deserve. He gives his audiences – black, white, whatever – credit for being smart and demands that we keep up, insists that we follow wherever he leads, and never once disappoints us at the destination. In a just world, there would be no competition in this category as there is Fences and everything else, but as Wilson’s characters can tell you, we sure don’t live in that world.

Moonlight – I have been effusive in my praise of Wilson and Fences because the work warrants it, but that should not diminish the accomplishments of the other nominees, particularly Jenkins’ and McCraney’s alternately devastating and inspiring portrait of youth and young manhood. Based in part on McCraney’s play In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue, Jenkin’s adds his own riff on the material with an entirely original third act that rounds out the story and brings its protagonist full circle to face the man he is and wants to be.

It is courageous storytelling by Jenkins and McCraney on every level – structurally daring, narratively fearless, and socially audacious. Bravo to both of these men for telling the story of a young, gay, black boy with compassion, honesty, and fearlessness. These are the kinds of stories the world needs more of and which deserve to be seen far and wide by anyone and everyone. It is no secret I will be pulling for Wilson’s Fences to win this category, but Moonlight is a film with the power to change lives. A win for it here or anywhere else has the power to change even more, and who could begrudge a film that?

Hidden Figures – The feel-good hit of the winter, Hidden Figures is a box-office smash that tells the story of three unheralded women and gives them their rightful place in American history. It is smart, funny, and touching work in the classic big-Hollywood vein, reminiscent of something like Apollo 13 or The Right Stuff. It prizes and celebrates intelligence, which is something far too rare in cinema these days, and it hopefully will inspire a generation of young girls, particularly young black girls, to pursue an interest in math and science.

Given all of that, I still cannot help but feel Melfi’s and Schroeder’s script is a bit too by-the-numbers. Hidden Figures hits all the expected beats of a biopic, particularly one about the Civil Rights era, and while I have no doubts about the veracity of the stories it tells, I wish the writers had found a more interesting way to tell them. To be sure, the film is effective, it works on every level, but as breezy and fun as it is, it is hard not to see the gears grinding along. Hidden Figures is wonderful, but a story this unique deserves a unique telling.

Lion – Adapted from Saroo Brierly’s best-selling memoir “A Long Way Home,” Davies’ script was faced with the challenge of turning an inherently uncinematic story into a narratively propulsive film. Played in the movie by Sunny Pawar when a child and Oscar nominee Dev Patel when an adult, Brierly is a man who attempts to find his birth mother through Google Earth searches, sketchy mathematics, maps of train routes, and the power of 20-year-old memories. Not one of those things, let alone all in congress, should work on screen, but Davies, aided by the spirited and inventive direction of Garth Davis, finds the film in Brierly’s words.

The film’s first act is an incredible leap of faith on Davies’ part, telling the story of how Saroo ends up so far away from home in a nearly wordless montage of events and images. Davies rightly does not clutter the narrative with contrived dialogue or over-simplified exposition; rather, he allows the audience to become a part of Saroo’s world, to see through his eyes the experience of being lost and alone, a stranger in a strange land. By the time we get to the search later in Saroo’s life, we are so heavily invested in the character we would watch him do anything to achieve his goal. That ultimately is the trick of Davies script – though gifted a compelling story that peaks curiosity, the film’s character-first approach ensures empathy.

Arrival – I have not read Ted Chiang’s short story “Story of Your Life,” on which this film is based, but word has it that it is unfilmable. Well, Heisserer and director Denis Villeneuve put lie to that assertion definitively. We have talked a lot about the looping narrative structure of Arrival and how its various nominated crafts contribute to its success. Of course, that narrative structure begins with the script, which operates throughout on two levels – as a straight science-fiction thriller and as an impressionistic mystery, which does not reveal its secrets until the denouement.

Arrival certainly stands out on Heisserer’s résumé, which is mostly horror, including the Nightmare on Elm Street reboot and The Thing remake/reboot/prequel. Heisserer also wrote and directed Hours, one of Paul Walker’s final films, which I have not seen. Without meaning this as a knock, nothing in Heisserer’s limited oeuvre suggests the levels of sophistication, subtly, and compassion on display in Arrival, and one hopes he has further opportunities to show off his skills on material worthy of them.

The final analysis


It has been 18 years since a film not nominated for Best Picture won this category, and that streak continues this year with every nominee cited for both this and the top award. This is just the third time since the expansion of the Best Picture category all five Adapted Screenplay nominees are recognized in both places, and the feat was even rarer before the rules change.

Best Picture heat obviously helps in this category, and with Moonlight sitting in the catbird seat to play spoiler, it is the prohibitive favorite to win here. Most likely right on its heels is Hidden Figures, which will appeal most broadly to the Academy as a whole and is the kind of witty, inspirational script for which members like to vote. Fences is probably running third, and Wilson is unlikely to pick up a posthumous Oscar, though his legacy hardly needs the additional honor. In point of fact, a Wilson win would do more for the Academy than any other group or person, proof the members are hip enough and smart enough to award a once-in-an-empire talent.

Will win: Moonlight
Should win: Fences
Should have been here: Love & Friendship

Tomorrow: Best Supporting Actor

Wednesday, February 8, 2017

Countdown to the Oscars: Best Sound Mixing


Rogue One: A Star Wars Story is among the five Academy Award nominees for Best Sound Mixing.

Welcome to Last Cinema Standing’s Countdown to the Oscars, our daily look at this year’s Academy Awards race. Be sure to check back every day leading up to the ceremony for analysis of each of the Academy’s 24 categories and more.

Best Sound Mixing


The nominees are:

13 Hours
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Yesterday, we covered Sound Editing, and today, we move on to the other side of the coin, Sound Mixing. This award goes to the skilled craftspeople who ensure everything we hear is not just some jumbled mess. They take all the elements of a film’s sound design – the score, the effects, the music cues, the dialogue, the incidental background noise, etc. – and find how they fit together in the perfect combination to unlock a film’s sonic environment.

As opposed to Sound Editing, where La La Land makes history as the first musical nominee, musicals have done well in Sound Mixing over the years. You can imagine why. In the past 15 years, five musicals have won this award, including Best Picture winner Chicago in 2002 and writer-director Damien Chazelle’s previous effort, Whiplash, in 2014. So, while a win in Sound Editing would be without precedent, La La Land is nearly assured victory here.

La La Land – Of course, that should not suggest the win would be without merit. In many ways, Chazelle’s film is a beautiful, escapist fantasy about a world we wish we could inhabit. Thus, enjoyment of the film is predicated upon never breaking that fantasy, and La La Land’s expert crafts create a protective bubble for the viewer, keeping the illusion alive, if only for a couple hours. If you cannot imagine how integral the sound mix is to that illusion, try watching any scene from a movie with the sound mix even slightly off. We intuit as viewers, whether consciously or not, how something should fit together sonically, and when it does not match, we are left frustrated and distracted.

As mentioned yesterday, re-recording mixer Ai-Ling Lee is a double nominee for La La Land here and in Sound Editing, joined by first-time nominee sound mixer Steven Morrow, and legend of the craft re-recording mixer Andy Nelson. Nelson has 21 nominations and was a double nominee just last year for Bridge of Spies and Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens. He has two previous wins in this category for Saving Private Ryan and Les Misérables and should be adding a third trophy to his shelf soon.

Hacksaw Ridge – Speaking of legends of the craft, re-recording mixer Kevin O’Connell holds the distinction of earning the most nominations without a win in Academy history. For his work on 21 different films, O’Connell has been cited, and never once has his name been called up onto that stage. Over a span of 13 ceremonies, from 1996-2008, he was nominated 13 times. This is his first nomination since 2008, and he runs into the awards buzz saw that is La La Land, which will likely leave him in his seat once again.

He is joined in this nomination by Academy first-timer sound recordist Peter Grace, and double nominees here and in Sound Editing re-recording mixers Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright. The team’s work on Hacksaw Ridge is gorgeous as they craft a sonic world that is as harrowing and ominous as the events of the film. When they bravely let all the sound drop out, save for a breath or a heartbeat, it is in those moments when we feel the weight of all this violence and terror. Then, when the sound comes back in full force, it all comes crashing down on us once again.

ArrivalArrival is a film built on words. Yes, it features an explosion or two and some big trucks and army goings-on, and a wonderfully evocative score, but its heart is in its dialogue, in its conversations between people and between species. Nearly every year, there is at least one nominee that exemplifies the other side of this craft. Rather than going big, nominees like Arrival, as well as Bridge of Spies, Birdman, Lincoln, and Moneyball before it, show how much of a film exists in the places between the noise, in the small moments of connection.

Sound mixer Bernard Gariépy Strobl and re-recording mixer Claude La Haye, both first-time nominees, use the quiet spaces in the film’s busy world to make magic. Arrival is not about its big action setpieces, of which there are refreshingly few, but about the moments when characters sit and think or sit and talk and simply exist outside the narrative. It is about dreams and memory and the way the past and future overlap on each other, and the sound mix allows the audience to feel its way through the film right along with the characters.

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – With a franchise as long and varied – at least in terms of quality and reception – as the Star Wars series, it is informative to look at its Oscars history. Across eight films, this is the sixth nomination for the Star Wars franchise, which missed only with Episodes II and III. However, only the first two films, chronologically anyway, Episodes IV and V, earned the win, which means the series has not been rewarded for its sound since 1980. In fact, since none of the prequel films nor Episode VII – The Force Awakens won an Oscar, despite 10 nominations among them, the franchise has not taken home an Academy Award in more than 30 years. I suppose the absurd box-office success has had to serve as its reward.

Re-recording mixers David Parker and Christopher Scarabosio are both multiple nominees, while production sound mixer Stuart Wilson also has four nominations to his credit. Scarabosio and Wilson were nominated together last year for The Force Awakens. Parker is a two-time winner from eight nominations, taking home the award for The English Patient and The Bourne Ultimatum.

13 Hours – If it feels like Michael Bay’s footprint is bigger than the 12 mostly execrable movies he has directed, that is because he has stomped all over the culture like one of his beloved alien robots. They are ubiquitous and inescapable, and perhaps the only justice is that this disgusting, unwatchable slog is his lowest-grossing film yet. Bay’s worst film by miles – that includes the cacophonous Transformers series – 13 Hours espouses a racist, lunkheaded, offensive philosophy, and it manages to be incomprehensible at the same time. The action makes no sense. The dialogue is idiotic. The politics are indefensible.

Is the sound mixing good? Sure. Of course it is. Re-recording mixer Greg P. Russell has 17 nominations to his name without a win, second-most all time. Re-recording mixer Gary Summers has four Oscar wins from 11 nominations. Re-recording mixer Jeffrey J. Haboush has four nominations, all for work with Russell. Meanwhile, production sound mixer Mac Ruth is on his second nomination and second in a row after being cited last year for The Martian. Their work here is professional and unimpeachable. If only that effort had been spent on a project worthier of their talents.

The final analysis


As mentioned in the introduction, there is little suspense here. The Academy likes to reward musicals in this category when it can, and La La Land is an awards juggernaut besides and will have no trouble scooping this one up as well.

Will win: La La Land
Should win: La La Land
Should have been here: The Witch

Tomorrow: Best Original Score

Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Countdown to the Oscars: Best Sound Editing

Deepwater Horizon is among the five nominees for Best Sound Editing at this year's Academy Awards.

Welcome to Last Cinema Standing’s Countdown to the Oscars, our daily look at this year’s Academy Awards race. Be sure to check back every day leading up to the ceremony for analysis of each of the Academy’s 24 categories and more.

Best Sound Editing


The nominees are:

Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

The two sound categories can be difficult for those unfamiliar with the nuts and bolts of filmmaking. I have covered the differences between sound editing and sound mixing in depth before. For that explanation, click here. Today, we are discussing Sound Editing, so briefly, when you here “sound editing,” think “sound effects.” This is the gunshots, the explosions, the footsteps, and the heartbeats. If you hear a noise other than an actor speaking dialogue, there is a good chance someone on the sound editing team was involved.

Since the category expanded to five nominees 10 years ago, there have been 11 winners, including a tie in 2012, and only one of those films could be classified as anything other than an action movie. On top of that, four of the winners have been war films. The Academy likes its sound effects big and booming, the more, the better. The last seven years, the award has gone to a Best Picture nominee, although in 2012, Best Picture-nominated Zero Dark Thirty tied with Skyfall.

So, this is easy then, right? We are looking for a critically acclaimed, Best Picture-nominated action-war film, and wouldn’t you know it, Hacksaw Ridge fits those criteria to a T. But wait, there is a monkey wrench in the works this year. We have discussed at length the overall popularity of La La Land within the Academy, but try this on for size: Before La La Land, no musical had ever been nominated – nominated! – in the Sound Editing category. This new wrinkle could create some suspense in a category that rarely features any.

Hacksaw Ridge – All those things mentioned above that make war films so attractive to the Academy in this category are true of director Mel Gibson’s bloody, brutal anti-war epic. But it is not just the gunfire and explosions, of which this film features many. It is the subtle change in the way the battlefield sounds underfoot before and after the bloodshed. It is odd to be too enthused about the reproduction of carnage, but the blood spatter and bullet wounds come alive through the sound process, which in turn makes Gibson’s anti-war message all the clearer.

Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright pulled double duty on this film as supervising sound editors and re-recording mixers, and both are nominated in both sound categories this year. It is an uncommon feat but not unheard of, and the double nominations represent both men’s first recognition by the Academy. Not being as well versed in Australian cinema as I perhaps should be, much of their career work has escaped me, but Hacksaw Ridge is a virtuosic achievement of sound editing.

La La Land – What to make of this nomination, then? It would be unfair to supervising sound editors Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou to dismiss this recognition as merely the love for the film carrying it places it otherwise would not be. After all, nominations are determined by peers within the branch, people who know what they are looking for (or listening to) and presumably are not easily impressed. I admit to being a little baffled by the nomination – though I did predict it – because sound editing did not immediately jump out to me as I watched the film. But then, my ear is not trained to listen for it.

Iatrou is a first-time nominee, while Lee, who also served as a re-recording mixer, is a first-timer joining Mackenzie and Wright as a double nominee in both sound categories. I have no standing or basis for suggesting their work on this film is anything less than awards worthy, but for a film that is essentially wall-to-wall music, I just don’t know how anyone can tell one way or the other. In any event, good on Lee and Iatrou for breaking through that musical barrier.

Arrival – Returning to a more traditional nominee in this category, Arrival is a big, science-fiction adventure movie that remembers to tell a human story in its quieter moments. Those are not the moments for which it is being recognized, most likely. It features a ton of army goings-on with the trucks and machinery scattered about, but its best moments are in the alien space ship, a completely new environment that must be constructed on the fly. The ship has the feel more of a living entity itself than of a cold transport vessel, and the sound is integral to that impression.

Supervising sound editor Sylvain Bellemare, a first-time nominee, is absolutely prolific. A quick glance at his IMDB page reveals more than 100 credits and more than 20 over just the past two years alone. I do not know Mr. Bellemare, but he does not seem to like having free time on his hands. In any event, his work on Arrival is admirable, but it is probably the least likely to win of the three Best Picture nominees cited here.

Deepwater Horizon – Director Pete Berg’s retelling of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster is by no means a complete film, but it is a good film, and its crafts are beyond reproach. From the recreation of the rig itself – an immense feat of production design and special effects – to the destruction of that rig, Deepwater Horizon is a masterclass in creating an environment for the screen. The sound design is, of course, part and parcel of that effort and one of the film’s many standout elements.

Supervising sound editor Wylie Stateman has been around forever. His first credit goes back to 1980, and he has picked up eight Oscar nominations along the way, his most recent coming for another Berg picture, Lone Survivor. Stateman has also been Quentin Tarantino’s sound editor of choice since the Kill Bill saga and picked up nominations for Inglourious Basterds and Django Unchained. This is co-nominee Renee Tondelli’s first recognition from the Academy, though she was the supervising dialogue and ADR editor on both Lone Survivor and Django Unchained.

Sully – Given Clint Eastwood’s track record with the Academy, it is surprising this film did not catch on more with voters. It is a classic meat-and-potatoes movie based on the true story of Sully Sullenberger and the “Miracle on the Hudson.” Sully is inspiring and well told and features a wonderful central performance from star Tom Hanks. It made a fair amount of money and is the kind of movie the Academy usually flocks to, but it got lost amid the end-of-year glut of awards prospects.

The crafts are solid all around, and the sound editing is right at the head of the class, particularly during the film’s imagining of the infamous plane crash in the Hudson River. Supervising sound editors Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman have 15 nominations and four Oscars between them. They shared Academy Award wins for their work on two previous Eastwood projects, Letters from Iwo Jima and American Sniper. The nomination will probably have to be the win here, but at least someone is carrying the flag for Sully at the ceremony.

The final analysis


The clear, abiding popularity of La La Land notwithstanding, I won’t bet against the war film here. Even eventual Best Picture winner Birdman lost this category to American Sniper. The big Hollywood musical will take home many awards on Oscar night, including probably the Sound Mixing award, but it will not get this one. First, even in the years since the expansion of the top category, few Best Picture nominees have gone home empty-handed, and this is the most logical and likely place to reward Hacksaw Ridge. Second, historic as its Oscar presence is, I just do not see La La Land ending 50-plus years of musical futility here.

Will win: Hacksaw Ridge
Should win: Hacksaw Ridge
Should have been here: Moana

Tomorrow: Best Sound Mixing